{"id":3556,"date":"2026-08-12T17:31:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:31:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.marine.usf.edu\/comit\/?p=3556"},"modified":"2026-08-12T17:31:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T17:31:29","slug":"short-term-forecast-of-karenia-brevis-trajectory-on-the-west-florida-shelf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.marine.usf.edu\/comit\/2026\/08\/12\/short-term-forecast-of-karenia-brevis-trajectory-on-the-west-florida-shelf\/","title":{"rendered":"Short-term forecast of Karenia brevis trajectory on the West Florida Shelf"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Liu, Y., Weisberg, R.H., Zheng, L., Hubbard, K.A., Muhlbach, E.G., Garrett, M.J., Hu, C., Cannizzaro, J.P., Xie, Y., Chen, J., John, S., Liu, L.Y. 2023. Deep-Sea Research Part II<\/em>, 212. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.dsr2.2023.105335<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Abstract: <\/strong>Blooms of the toxic dinoflagellate\u00a0Karenia brevis<\/em>, also known as\u00a0harmful algal blooms\u00a0(HABs) or red tides, occur almost annually on the west coast of Florida, killing fish and other marine life, threatening public health and adversely impacting local economies. Mitigating such effects requires improved red tide forecast capabilities on the West Florida Shelf. A short-term Lagrangian trajectory forecast tool is developed to help federal, state, and local end users monitor and manage red tides on the west coast of Florida. The forecast products are based on the West Florida Coastal Ocean Model (WFCOM) and the Tampa Bay Coastal Ocean Model (TBCOM) nowcast\/forecast systems. Observed\u00a0K. brevis<\/em>\u00a0cell count data are uploaded daily into the models to generate 3.5-day forecasts of the bloom trajectories both on the shelf and in the estuaries. The tracking tool displays modeled bloom trajectories at the surface and near-bottom with five categories of cell concentrations (each approximately representing an order of magnitude difference in concentration). More general and user-friendly maps are also produced to provide red tide advisories along the coast, including those integrated with satellite imagery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Liu, Y., Weisberg, R.H., Zheng, L., Hubbard, K.A., Muhlbach, E.G., Garrett, M.J., Hu, C., Cannizzaro, J.P., Xie, Y., Chen, J., John, S., Liu, L.Y. 2023. Deep-Sea Research Part II, 212. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.dsr2.2023.105335 Abstract: Blooms of the toxic dinoflagellate\u00a0Karenia brevis, also known as\u00a0harmful algal blooms\u00a0(HABs) or red tides, occur almost annually on the west coast of Florida, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"off","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[121],"tags":[123],"class_list":["post-3556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-publications","tag-123"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t